今日汇评
希腊在一份声明中公开表示，选民赋予新民主党组建一个联合政府的权力，他们不想选择主流政党，如泛希社运党，但继续认为他们应该留在欧盟。在昨天的选举中，支持救助协议的新民主党赢得了30％的选票，相当于在政府全部席位300个席位中拥有130个席位。大选胜出者将可能与民主左派联盟及其竞争对手泛希社运党一起形成一个联盟，抛开他们可以追溯至军政府结束时的仇恨，这将让联盟拥有政府全部席位中的179个席位。虽然激进左翼联盟政党在此次选举中位居第二，得票率为26.9%，但只获得了71个席位。希腊选举结果公布后，欧元最开始是下行0.91％至1.2521，之前又跳回至1.2748，高于上周五收盘价0.65％，接近一个月以来的最高价，这主要得益于市场卸载了一些打压全球风险偏好的压力。亚洲股市随后也跟着上涨，恒生指数上涨1.14％，日经指数上扬1.77％。大宗商品最初也跟随欧元兑美元下滑，但之后又恢复了大部分实力，转为窄幅震荡。金价在触底反弹1.25%（仍低于今日的开盘价）之后又下跌了0.30％，而银价更不稳定，跌幅高达0.50％。然而，随着希腊退出欧元区压力的缓解，不论欧佩克成员国是否确保全球原油市场供应充足，WTI原油还是录得了1.00％的涨幅。20国集团今明两天在西班牙召开首脑会议，重点商讨欧洲危机问题。有传言称，某些与会者要求向国际货币基金组织（IMF）增资，而部分成员国准备实施协调货币干预。但我们相信，除非形势进一步恶化，否则后者不可能实现。
The Greeks spoke. Electors gave New Democracy party the power to create a coalition government, in a statement that chaos they did not want to choose a mainstream party such as the Pasok but continue to believe they should stay in The European Union. The pro-bailout New Democracy party won 30% of yesterday's vote, the equivalent of 130 of the 300 seats in the government. The winner will probably form a coalition with the Democratic Left and its rival Pasok, setting aside their animosity dating back to the end of the military junta, which would grant the coalition 179 seats in the government. Syriza party, although coming second with 26.9% of the vote count, is only granted 71 seats in the government. The EUR first shot downward 0.91% to 1.2521 before jumping back up to 1.2748, 0.65% higher than Friday’s close, and nearing a one-month high as markets unloaded some of the pressure weighing down on global risk appetite. Asian equity indices followed as Hang Seng gained 1.14% and NIKKEI advanced 1.77%. Commodities initially followed EURUSD’s move downward before recovering most of the position and trading in a narrow range. Gold lost 0.30% after bottoming out 1.25% lower than today’s open, and more volatile silver shed 0.50%. WTI however, scored a 1.00% gain as pressure of a Greek exit eased, regardless of OPEC member’s reassurance that it would make sure the supply in global crude market is enough. The G20 is taking place today and tomorrow in Mexico with the European crisis taking the center stage. Rumors are that some of the participants will be asking for the increase of contributions to the IMF, and that members are preparing a coordinated monetary interaction. But we believe the latter is unlikely unless the situation deteriorates further.
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