来源：环球外汇网

昨日，受积极房屋数据的刺激，美元在亚洲市场基本持平。今日，日本因天皇诞辰日而休假闭市，整个市场异常清静。美国国债收益率的走高提振美元，尤其刺激美元兑日元走高，致使该货币对隔夜走高至91.87，与此同时，欧元兑美元也于1.4236-1.4276的区间内交投。因穆迪公司昨日将希腊的信贷评级下调了一个等级, 受该消息拖累, 风险偏好受打击，希腊十年期国债收益率昨日一度升穿6%,为三月份以来首见。希腊政府官员发表讲话称，希腊政府仍然注重已经宣布过的措施的实施，并致力于动用一切可能的途径来实施借贷。他们还指出，主权信用评级的再次下调无疑是将希腊政府置于“悬崖边”。今日，因美国国债收益率继续走高，美元在美国市场反弹上扬，反弹态势结转至亚洲市场，致使美元兑日元开盘报价91.80。日本因公共假期休市，流动性较为清淡，美元兑日元在91.56 至 91.85的区间内窄幅震荡。目前，日本出口类股表现良好，在92.00-92.30之间交投，刺激该交易趋势继续走高，而美元兑日元也位于91.65上方。

在新西兰，第三季度国内生产总值季比上扬0.2%，远低于市场预期的0.4%，年比下滑1.3%，预期值为1.2%。该国内生产总值数据与市场预期大体一致，表明新西兰已经走出经济衰退，并以复苏的态势迎接2010年。该数据支持我们预期新西兰央行将于2010年第一季度加息，我们仍然期待随着货币政策分歧的减少，纽元兑澳元将上扬。受令人失望的新西兰第三季度国内生产总值数据的拖累，纽元兑美元在惠灵顿开盘走低，报价0.7017，并创下新的低点0.6972。今天上午，美元遭遇温和的抛售压力，纽元兑美元因此反弹恢复至 0.7004，之后在下午又有所回落，形成典型的亚洲市场交易区间。

今天，英国央行货币政策委员会即将释放其会议纪要，但这对市场来讲已经不再重要，因为昨日的英国第三季度国内生产总值终值已经释放，季比终值从原下的下滑0.3%上调至0.2%，低于市场预期的0.1%，该消息已经赚足了市场的眼球。即将释放的美国经济数据有：美国12月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值和美国11月新屋销售数据。与此同时，即将释放的加拿大经济数据有：加拿大10月国内生产总值，预期值月比上升0.30%，前值为0.4%，该数据帮助加拿大第三季度国内生产总值回归正区间。

Markets have shifted into holiday mode, as ranges have become compressed and thin liquidity is dominating price behavior. USD was basically unchanged in the Asian session, with Japan on holiday. Higher Treasury yield in recent weeks have created just another reason for traders to liquidate JPY positions. The USDJPY started the Asian session around 91.80, after the JPY fell the hardest in the earlier USD rally due to better than expected US housing data. The Tokyo holiday made certain that trading stayed light, with a narrow 91.56 to 91.85 range, with rumors of Japanese exports offers around 92.00 capping the upside. EURUSD has found a comfortable intraday range trading between 1.4220 and 1.4280. Greece continues to weigh no risk appetite as Greek 10-year govt yields hit 6% for the first time since March, as Moody's downgraded the their sovereign debt ratings by one notch (the third agency to downgrade).

In New Zealand, the Q3 GDP disappointed markets, printing at +0.2% q/q vs+0.4% exp. The y/y figure was -1.3% vs. -1.2% exp. Despite the deviation, the GDP figure highlights that New Zealand is completely out of recession and clearly on the road to recovery. The NZDUSD fell to 0.6972 on the weaker figure but was able to rally back on USD selling. Overall, the growth trend is positive and should support our view that the RBNZ begins tightening in early 2010.

Today’s BoE December MPC minutes were originally anticipated to be a non-event. However, after yesterday's weak Q3 GDP was revised up to -0.2% q/q from -0.3% q/q, but below expectations, might now attract some attention.