来源：环球外汇网
在亚洲市场，随着流动性的扩大，外汇市场盘中小幅震荡。紧随欧洲股市和美国股市昨日的跌势，亚洲股市也小幅走低，上证综指收盘下滑2.0%。巴基斯坦政变谣言破坏风险偏好情绪，影响美元货币交易。但是，后来巴基斯坦总统阿西夫阿里扎尔达里的发言人否认了国防部长被禁止出境的政变谣言。投机者认为，巴基斯坦最高法院本周取消了特赦法令，该特赦法令旨在保护国防部长乔杜里艾哈迈德穆赫塔尔及其他成千上万贪污腐败人员免受贪污指控。继欧洲央行最后一次12个月期资金的招标结束后，欧元兑瑞郎迅速走高至1.4908。自今年3月份以来，瑞士央行一直坚持外汇干预政策，使得欧元兑美元货币对一直维持在1.50水平上方。美元兑日元以及日元价差盘隔夜大幅波动，这主要是因为市场明显缺乏货币参与而流动性又加大了价格行动波动范围。巴基斯坦政变传言致使更多的风险交易退出市场。
日本央行一致投票决定维持0.1%的利率不变，并发表政策声明强调维持物价稳定是央行的货币政策目标之一。之前央行对物价稳定的定义是：消费者物价指数增幅 “大约介于0至2%之间”，并集中在“1%左右”的中间位置。现在，央行对物价稳定做出了新的界定，即消费者物价指数增幅介于2%或更低的正增长区间，但中间水平依然集中在1%。日本央行此次使用紧缩的语言旨在表明日本央行对消极消费者物价指数通货膨胀的可接受度，并借此来缓解政府一直因央行没有认真对待该问题的担忧。如果日本央行选择采取相关行动，则最有可能的行动后果是日本政府债券目前的月收购量1.8万亿日元的规模将被扩大，而日元也会因此受损。然而，尽管今天日本央行并没有采取相关行动，但日本政府债券收益率还是因为日本央行的决定而走低，该市场行情表明市场还是认为日本政府债券收购规模存在扩大的可能性。
在澳大利亚，11月商业销售量大幅增加，CBA指数激增0.6%，年增6.8%，创22个月以来的最高值，前值为0.5%。在新西兰，12月消费者信心指数下滑2.9个基点，跌至118.6，但仍然维持了其强劲态势。在亚洲市场，澳元兑美元开盘报价0.8870，之前先后在伦敦市场和纽元市场于100天移动平均线上在0.8848左右反弹。
今日，市场上即将释放的重要经济数据是德国IFO数据，预计信心指数将走高至94.5或93.9，预期值是99.0，前值是98.9。英国央行金融稳定报告称，英国金融行业较六个月之前已经“明显大幅改善”，但融资环境依然面临挑战。该报告还指出，等收益率曲线开始上升时，风险资产必将受压。今天，英国11月公共部门净借款数据和英国11月M4货币供给数据也将出炉。M4货币供给的临时预估值也将收到密切关注，因为广义的货币增长是量化宽松货币政策效果的最好测试工具。这些公共财政数据将突出预算赤字问题。
FX markets were choppy in the Asian session, as the thin liquidity amplified small moves. Asian equities were slightly weaker, with Shanghai down -2.0% following yesterday’s drops across Europe and the US . Risk appetite was damaged as rumors of a Coup in Pakistan sent traders into scrambling USD. However, Pakistan President Asif Ali Zardari’s spokesman denied rumors of a coup, after the defense minister Supreme Court this week threw out an amnesty protecting Defense Minister Chaudhry Ahmed Mukhtar and thousands of others from corruption charges. Perhaps the most interesting move was in the EURCHF, which traded down to 1.4908 for the fist time below 1.500 since March and just a few days after the ECB's last 12 month liquidity tenor. There has been increasing speculation that the SNB is relating its intervention stance and becoming comfortable with the prospect of a stronger CHF. We believe this is somewhat premature given the continued rhetoric by SNB officials (although slightly less hawkish) and EUR weakness. As was universally expected, the BoJ unanimously voted to hold rates at 0.10%. They also used the meeting to solidify their position on price stability as a critical objective of monetary policy. Previously, the definition stated a goal of "approximately between 0 and 2%" with a median figure of "around 1%". Now CPI "must be in a positive range of 2% or lower" with the language clearly conveying the BoJ intolerance for a deflation environment. Given the tools left, the BoJ would most likely increase their monthly purchases of JGBs which would have a negative JPY (and given recent weakness in JGB yields, the markets seem to have increased probability of this scenario).
In Australia, the November business sales grew vigorously +6.8% y/y, the strongest reading in 22-months. In New Zealand, the December consumer confidence index slipped -2.9 pts to 118.6, however still a decent read.The AUDUSD traded up to 0.8902, after finding support on its 100-day moving average at 0.8848. The economic data highlight of the day should be the German IFO, which is expected to have shown sentiment index improved to 94.5, vs. 93.9 prior, and expectations index rising to 99.0 vs. 98.9 prior.
