Kim Kyoungwha撰稿
8月13日(彭博社)--由于美元下跌并且全球经济前景改善提升了对贵金属和其他商品的需求,黄金连续2天上涨。
在联储维持基准利率为0至0.25%之间并说美国的衰退正在平息之后,美元指数作为6种货币对美元的估值连续3天下跌,而黄金上涨。根据彭博社职业全球信心指数对从纽约到东京到伦敦2345位受访者的调查,未来6个月对美元疲软的预期在增加。
“疲软的美元与联储货币委员会维持美国货币政策不变,导致了新一轮对贵金属的购买,”Stefan Graber, 瑞银集团的金属分析师说。“我们认为黄金价格可能在未来几天中朝着测试另一个重要阻力位959美元的方向运动。
立即交货的黄金在新加坡下午1:45交易于951.34美元之前上涨了0.4%至每盎司950.45美元。黄金本年上涨了7.8%。9月交货的石油上涨了72美分,或1%,在纽约商品交易所至每桶70.88美元。该合约在新加坡为每桶70.78美元。
但是,黄金可能短期下滑,巴克莱资本公司说。“短期内下跌的几率比较大,”Jordan Kotick与其他分析师昨天在一份报告中说。尽管黄金价格仍处于960美元之下,黄金价格有可能移动至支撑线940美元并然后移动至“更重要的”921美元与925美元区域,分析师们说。
根据该公司网站,最大的以黄金为抵押的上市交易基金,SPDR黄金信托的存量,截止8月12日维持在1065.49美元未变。
在其它立即交货的贵金属中,银上涨0.5%至每盎司14.61美元,铂金上涨1.2%至每盎司1255美元,而钯金上涨0.6%至274美元。
联系本故事记者:Kyoungwha Kim在新加坡Kkim19@bloomberg.net。
最后更新:8月13日,2009年 2:29 EDT
西汉志:郑鹏
Gold Gains a 2nd Day as Dollar Drops After U.S. Rates Unchanged
By Kim Kyoungwha
Aug. 13 (Bloomberg) -- Gold advanced for a second day as a drop in the dollar and an improving outlook for global economies fueled demand for precious metals and other commodities.
Bullion strengthened as the Dollar Index, a six-currency gauge of the greenback’s value, fell for a third day after the Federal Reserve left the benchmark interest rate between zero and 0.25 percent and said the recession in the U.S. is easing. Expectations for a weaker dollar over the next six months increased, according to 2,345 respondents from New York to Tokyo to London in the Bloomberg Professional Global Confidence Index.
“A weak dollar and no change in U.S. monetary policy from the Federal Reserve Monetary Committee triggered renewed buying activities in precious metals,” said Stefan Graber, a metals analyst with Credit Suisse Group. “We think that gold prices could head for another test of the important resistance at $959 in the days ahead.”
Gold for immediate delivery rose as much as 0.4 percent to $950.45 an ounce before trading at $951.34 at 1:45 p.m. in Singapore. The metal is up 7.8 percent this year. Crude oil for September delivery rose as much as 72 cents, or 1 percent, to $70.88 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract was at $70.78 a barrel in Singapore.
Still, the metal may decline in the short term, Barclays Capital Inc. said.
“Near-term odds favor further downside in the sessions ahead,” Jordan Kotick and other analysts wrote in a report yesterday. While the price remains below $960, there is the possibility of a move toward support at $940 and then toward the “more important” $921 to $925 area, the analysts said.
Holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust, the biggest exchange- traded fund backed by bullion, were unchanged at 1,065.49 metric tons as of Aug. 12, according to the company’s Web site.
Among other precious metals for spot delivery, silver was up 0.5 percent at $14.61 an ounce, platinum rose 1.2 percent to $1,255 an ounce and palladium added 0.6 percent to $274.
To contact the reporter on this story: Kyoungwha Kim in Singapore at Kkim19@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: August 13, 2009 02:29 EDT