Kim Kyoungwha撰稿
8月7日(彭博社)--由于投资者在黄金昨天攀升至2个月高点并且商品价格下跌后抛售黄金以锁定利润,黄金下滑。
昨天黄金触及每盎司971.68美元,并仍维持了连续4周上涨的势头,而美元指数作为对6种主要货币的估值交易于近10个月低点。Reuters/Jefferies19种商品指数昨天下滑1.4%至264.77。
“昨天黄金攀升至970美元之上,并且其它商品下滑,可能刺激了投资者获利回吐的偏好,”Kim Seung Sik,首尔Tongyang期货公司的交易员说。
立即交货的黄金下跌0.2%在新加坡下午1:21至每盎司961.16美元。黄金本周上涨了0.7%,而美元指数下跌了0.5%。
一份调查显示,因为投资者寻求对美元的替代,黄金下周可能上涨。
彭博新闻社调查的20位交易员,投资者和分析师中的11位说黄金下周将上涨。5位预测价格下跌。4位中立。
BNY Convergex集团说,投资者应购买黄金期权因为美元下跌并且交易员赌美国财政和货币刺激将导致通货膨胀。
黄金信托
BNY首席市场战略家Nicholas Colas昨天在一份报告中说,由于投资者赌通货膨胀可能上升,最大的以黄金为抵押的上市交易基金,SPDR黄金信托的潜在波动率在上升。潜在波动率是黄金期望价格变动与期权价格估值的指标。
根据该公司网站数据,SPDR黄金信托的存量连续6天未变,为1072.87公吨。
在其它立即交货的贵金属中,银变动微小交易于每盎司14.5725美元,铂金下跌0.9%至每盎司1253.50美元,而钯金下跌0.7%至每盎司270美元。
联系本故事记者:Kyoungwha Kim在新加坡Kkim19@bloomberg.net。
最后更新: 8月7日,2009年 01:52 EDT
西汉志:郑鹏
Gold Drops, Paring Weekly Gain, After Climb to Two-Month High
By Kim Kyoungwha
Aug. 7 (Bloomberg) -- Gold declined on speculation investors are offloading holdings of the precious metal to lock in gains after it climbed to a two-month high yesterday and commodity prices slipped.
Bullion, which touched $971.68 an ounce yesterday, is still on course for a fourth weekly advance as the dollar, as measured against six major currencies, traded near the lowest level in 10 months. The Reuters/Jefferies Index of 19 commodities slid 1.4 percent to 264.77 yesterday.
“The rise above $970 yesterday, coupled with a downturn in other commodities, is probably stimulating investor appetite for profit-taking,” said Kim Seung Sik, a trader with Tongyang Futures Co. in Seoul.
Gold for immediate delivery fell 0.2 percent to $961.16 an ounce at 1:21 p.m. in Singapore. The metal is up 0.7 percent this week, while the Dollar Index dropped 0.5 percent.
Gold may advance next week as investors seek an alternative to a weakening dollar, a survey showed.
Eleven of 20 traders, investors and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News, or 55 percent, said bullion would gain next week. Five forecast lower prices and four were neutral.
Investors should buy options on gold because the dollar has dropped and traders are betting that U.S. fiscal and monetary stimulus will spur inflation, BNY Convergex Group LLC said.
Gold Trust
Implied volatility for the SPDR Gold Trust, the largest exchange-traded fund backed by bullion, is increasing as investors bet that inflation may rise, BNY chief market strategist Nicholas Colas wrote in a report yesterday. Implied volatility is a measure of expected price swings and the key gauge of options prices.
Holdings in the trust were unchanged for a sixth day yesterday at 1,072.87 metric tons, according to figures on the company’s Web site.
Among other precious metals for immediate delivery, silver Was little changed at $14.5725 an ounce, platinum fell 0.9 percent to $1,253.50 an ounce and palladium shed 0.7 percent to $270 an ounce.
To contact the reporter on this story: Kyoungwha Kim in Singapore at Kkim19@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: August 7, 2009 01:52 EDT