The Aussie has been boosted overnight by the rise in employment,allowing a push back above the 0.82 level on AUDUSD.This follows on from yesterday’s fall on the back of copper prices.This neatly highlights the competing forces on the currency,namely a still buoyant domestic economy which has served to underpin the Aussie,together with a weaker but still evident correlation with commodities.Talking of which,oil prices recovered late yesterday towards the 48 level,but at the same time the FT reports that there are many new projects within the industry being cancelled because of it,which is not in the least bit surprising.
由于就业上升,昨天澳元出现反弹,导致澳元美元回到了0.82之上。此前铜价曾出现下跌。这个情况精确显示出澳元身上不同因素的竞争,也就是能影响到货币且活跃的澳洲国内经济,以及疲软但仍有影响力的货币和商品之间的关系。此外,昨天油价正朝着48美元这个水平恢复,但同时《金融时报》报道说,石油业内有许多新计划因此而取消。这种情况根本不会让人吃惊。
The main issue yesterday was the soft retail sales data in the US,which initially weakened the dollar,but most of this was given back towards the end of the session.For the moment,we remain in the middle ground of having seen the dis-inflationary impact of falling oil prices,but less of the impact on demand via higher spending on other items.This will be where investors will be watching in the coming weeks,because it is where many central bankers and policy makers are spinning the positive impact of falling energy prices.Today we see PPI data in the US,together with the usual weekly claims data.
昨天主要的问题就是美国零售数据比较疲软,美元因此出现一时的疲软,但收盘时损失得到逆转。现在,油价下跌造成的反通胀效果还不是很明朗,不过其他方面的消费受到的影响还不是很大。未来几周这可能是投资者要关注的地方,因为众多央行和政策制定者都在说油价下跌的积极影响。今天的数据有美国的PPI,以及每周失业人数。
