周四(3月8日)德国银行协会预计德国储蓄类银行将参与希腊债务互换比率将很高、一些大型银行的积极表态支持希腊债务互换的消息进一步安抚了投资者的情绪。民间就业服务机构ADPEmployerServices周三发布的报告显示,美国2月民间部门就业增长速度快于预期。2月ADP民间就业人数增加21.6万人,高于预期增加的20.8万人。该数据为非农报告的重要领先指标,暗示周五的非农数据有很大机会表现良好,因此对风险偏好起到一定的支持作用。
希腊民间部门换债申请将于北京时间周五凌晨截止,如果参与互换计划的投资者数量不足(低于66%),可能会因引入集体行动条款(CAC)而触发信用违约掉期(CDS),并带来无法想象的严重后果。对此,信贷评级机构警告称,一旦CAC条款启动,将宣布希腊违约,这将成为希腊政府、欧元区和全球市场在过去三年所经历的过山车般剧情的戏剧性高潮。
市场关注今日欧洲央行(ECB)货币政策会议及希腊债务互换结果 。今日重点关注欧银的利率决议。
欧元兑美元
开盘1.3141,最高1.3175,最低1.3135,现报1.3169,振幅0.3%。希腊问题不可避免的侵袭投资者的信心。欧美近1.3113美元达近3周低。
The inevitable Greek concerns crept back to the forefront of investors’ consciences as the PSIparticipation deadline looms. The euro sold-off throughout the day settling near US$1.3113representing a near 3-week low.
美元兑瑞郎
开盘0.9171,最高0.9175,最低0.9148,现报0.9153,振幅0.3%。风险情绪厌恶使投资者担心,美瑞安全到0.9197瑞士法郎。
The pair benefitted from the general risk aversion in the markets as investors fretting over Greeceand China forced the pair higher to CHF0.9197 as they scrambled to safety.
美元兑日元
开盘81.29,最高81.33,最低81.17,现报81.25,振幅0.2%。日元摆脱了最近的低点80.57。因一些空头平仓和避险流动时的压力缓解。
The Yen made a substantial move away from its recent lows on its way to 80.57. The pair’s movewas the result of some bearish unwinding in the Yen and safe-haven flows as it relieved thecurrency of its recent pressure.
英镑兑美元
开盘1.573,最高1.5755,最低1.5723,现报1.5752,振幅0.2%。英美最近轨迹向下遭受严重焦虑,希腊的脆弱局势重新燃起。它下降到1.0525美元,晚些时候在那里获得一些支持。
The riskier currency pair steepened its recent downward trajectory as it suffered heavily followingrekindled anxiety over Greece’s fragile situation. It plummeted to US$1.0525 where it found somesupport late in the day.
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