Halia Pavliva撰稿
8月31日(彭博社)--因为石油与全球股市下滑,黄金报本周最大跌幅,消减了黄金对冲通货膨胀的需求。银上涨。
出于对自3月来股市的上涨超过企业盈利的前景的担忧,纽约股市下跌。MSCI世界股票指数下跌1.3%。石油下跌5%,并且美元兑欧元贬值。一些投资者用石油价格与美元汇率作为通货膨胀的指标。
“本周将又一次是股市、石油与外汇市场推动的行情,”Jon Nadler,蒙特利尔Kitco公司的高级分析师在一份报告中说。
12月交货的黄金期货下跌5.30美元,或0.6%,在纽约商品交易所Comex分部至953.50美元,是该最活跃合约自8月24日来的最大跌幅。
黄金本年上涨7.8%,本月下跌0.2%。
立即交货的黄金下跌3.17%,或0.3%,在伦敦下午7:24至每盎司951.83美元。
12月交货的银期货上涨10.8美分,或0.7%,至每盎司14.923美元。银价格8月上涨7.1%并且本年攀升32%。
交易员在等待本周末发布的美国经济报告。这些报告将决定黄金的潜在需求,Ralph Preston,圣地亚哥的西传统期货公司的分析师通过电子邮件说。
经济学家在本周报告之前说,美国雇主8月消减工作的速度可能放缓并且制造业自2008年1月来第一次扩张,进一步证明自1930年来最差的经济危机正在结束。
经济预测
根据彭博社65个估计值的中位数,本月美国消减230000份工作,是一年来的最小降幅。美国劳工部9月4日将公布月度就业数据。采购经理人组成的一家私人集团明天将公布9月制造业数据。
“周五的非农报告应影响美元的方向,并且因此影响黄金价格,”Preston说。
“黄金不能收于958美元之上使市场倾向于下行,”Preston说。“由于黄金价格被压制在958美元阻力位之下,本周我会在930美元至925美元支持位寻找测试。”
联系本故事记者:Halia Pavliva在纽约hpavliva@bloomberg.net。
最后更新:8月31日,2009年 14:26 EDT
西汉志:郑鹏
Gold Falls as Global Equity Indexes, Oil Drop; Silver Climbs
By Halia Pavliva
Aug. 31 (Bloomberg) -- Gold fell the most in a week as crude oil and global equity markets slumped, cutting demand for the metal as an inflation hedge. Silver gained.
Stocks sank in New York on speculation that a rally since early March outpaced prospects for earnings growth. The MSCI World Index of shares fell as much as 1.3 percent. Oil plunged as much as 5 percent and the dollar weakened against the euro. Some investors use oil prices and the dollar exchange rate as indicators of inflation.
“It will be a stock, oil and currency markets-driven week, once again,” Jon Nadler, a Kitco Inc. senior analyst in Montreal, said in a report.
Gold futures for December delivery fell $5.30, or 0.6 percent, to $953.50 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange’s Comex unit, marking the biggest decline for the most- active contract since Aug. 24.
The metal, up 7.8 percent this year, dropped 0.2 percent this month.
Gold for immediate delivery fell $3.17, or 0.3 percent, to $951.83 an ounce at 7:24 p.m. in London.
Silver futures for December delivery rose 10.8 cents, or 0.7 percent, to $14.923 an ounce. The price is up 7.1 percent for August and has climbed 32 percent this year.
Traders are awaiting U.S. economic reports set for release later this week that may help define potential demand for gold, Ralph Preston, a Heritage West Futures Inc. analyst in San Diego, said by e-mail.
Employers in the U.S. probably cut jobs in August at a slower pace and manufacturing expanded for the first time since January 2008, adding to evidence that the worst recession since the 1930s is ending, economists said before this week’s reports.
Economic Forecasts
About 230,000 jobs were cut from U.S. payrolls this month, the smallest decline in a year, according to the median of 65 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. The Labor Department is set to report the monthly employment data on Sept. 4. Figures on August factory activity are set for release tomorrow by a private group of purchasing managers.
“Friday’s nonfarm-payrolls report should imbue the buck with a sense of direction and in turn, the price of gold,” Preston said.
“Gold’s inability to close above $958 an ounce is keeping the market’s bias slanted to the downside,” Preston said. “With prices capped under $958 resistance, I would look for a test of the $930-an-ounce to $925-an-ounce support level sometime this week.”
To contact the reporter on this story: Halia Pavliva in New York at hpavliva@bloomberg.net.
Last Updated: August 31, 2009 14:26 EDT