8月25日,2009年上午6:21
彭博社 – 由于美元攀升,黄金价格一周来最大幅下跌,消减了黄金作为另类投资的吸引力。银期货上涨。
美元兑一揽子6种货币上涨,终止了连续4天的下滑。黄金上周上涨了0.6%,而美元下跌了1.1%。
“如果美元从目前低点反弹,市场可能回撤到每盎司925美元至930美元,” Andrey Kryuchenkov,伦敦VTB资本的分析师在一份报告中说。
12月交货的黄金期货下跌了11美元,或1.2%,在纽约商品交易所Comex分部至每盎司943.70美元。这次下跌是8月17日来的最大跌幅。
立即交货的黄金下跌10.72美元,或1.1%,在纽约时间至943.13美元。
“8月份黄金价格的波动率增加,在几天内在970美元至930美元之间摇摆,”BNP Paribas在一份报告中说。“这种波动率大部分是美元驱动的,货币市场在美元崩溃与美元复兴之间不能决定方向。实物需求依然疲弱。”
根据美国商品期货交易委员会数据,截止8月18日,基金经理与大型投机商将其纽约黄金期货的净多头头寸减少了6.6%。投机性多头头寸超过空头头寸177530个合约。
“除非黄金市场有新的利好消息,黄金价格可能下滑至925美元。”Jon Nadler,蒙特利尔Kitco公司的高级分析师在一份报告中说。
西汉志:郑鹏
Gold futures fall as greenback rebounds
August 25, 2009 - 6:21AM
Gold declined the most in a week as the dollar climbed, eroding the metal’s appeal as an alternative investment. Silver futures gained.
The greenback rose against a basket of six major currencies, halting a four-session slide. Gold gained 0.6 per cent last week, while the dollar declined 1.1 per cent.
"The market is likely to retreat toward $US925 to $US930 an ounce, provided the (US) dollar rebounds from current lows," Andrey Kryuchenkov, a VTB Capital analyst in London, said in a note.
Gold futures for December delivery slipped $US11, or 1.2 per cent, to $US943.70 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. The drop was the biggest since August 17.
Bullion for immediate delivery fell $US10.72, or 1.1 per cent, to $US943.13 in New York time.
"Considerable volatility has marked the gold price in August, shifting between almost $US970 and $US930 in the space of a few days," BNP Paribas SA said in a report. "This volatility is mostly dollar-driven, with the currency markets undecided between a dollar collapse and a dollar revival. Physical demand remains weak."
Hedge-fund managers and other large speculators reduced their net-long position in New York gold futures by 6.6 per cent in the week ended August 18, according to US Commodity Futures Trading Commission data. Speculative long positions, or bets that prices will rise, outnumbered short positions by 177,530 contracts.
"Unless the gold market receives fresh news on the bullish front, the risk of easing back toward $US925 remains reasonably present," Jon Nadler, a senior analyst at Kitco Inc. in Montreal, said in a note.